Many Of my visitors are asking me this interesting question -- HOW TO BE A SUCCESSFUL TRADER ?
I assume that most of you have seen these words ,TA(Technical Analysis),and FA(Fundamental Analysis), so right here I would try to explain in simple terms both of these two BIG words in Trading ( applicable to Stocks, Forex, Commodity, Energy) in this PART 1 on Introduction to Trading
What Is Technical Analysis? |
Technical analysis is a security analysis technique that claims the ability to forecast the |
future direction of prices through the study of past market data, primarily price and |
volume. In its purest form, technical analysis considers only the actual price and volume |
behavior of the market or instrument. Technical analysts, sometimes called "chartists", |
may employ models and trading rules based on price and volume transformations, such as |
the relative strength index, moving averages, regressions, inter-market and intra-market |
price correlations, cycles or, classically, through recognition of chart patterns.
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Technical analysis stands in distinction to fundamental analysis. Technical analysis |
"ignores" the actual nature of the company, market, currency or commodity and is based |
solely on "the charts," that is to say price and volume information, whereas fundamental |
analysis does look at the actual facts of the company, market, currency or commodity. |
For example, any large brokerage, trading group, or financial institution will typically |
have both a technical analysis and fundamental analysis team.
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Just as there are many investment styles on the fundamental side, there are also many |
different types of technical traders. Some rely on chart patterns; others use technical |
indicators and oscillators, and most use some combination of the two. In any case, |
technical analysts' exclusive use of historical price and volume data is what separates |
them from their fundamental counterparts. Unlike fundamental analysts, technical |
analysts don't care whether a stock is undervalued - the only thing that matters is a |
security's past trading data and what information this data can provide about where the |
security might move in the future.
1. The Market Discounts Everything |
A major criticism of technical analysis is that it only considers price movement, |
ignoring the fundamental factors of the company. However, technical analysis |
assumes that, at any given time, a stock's price reflects everything that has or could |
affect the company - including fundamental factors. Technical analysts believe that |
the company's fundamentals, along with broader economic factors and market |
psychology, are all priced into the stock, removing the need to actually consider these |
factors separately. This only leaves the analysis of price movement, which technical |
theory views as a product of the supply and demand for a particular stock in the |
In technical analysis, price movements are believed to follow trends. This means that |
after a trend has been established, the future price movement is more likely to be in |
the same direction as the trend than to be against it. Most technical trading strategies |
are based on this assumption. |
3. History Tends To Repeat Itself |
Another important idea in technical analysis is that history tends to repeat itself, |
mainly in terms of price movement. The repetitive nature of price movements is |
attributed to market psychology; in other words, market participants tend to provide a |
consistent reaction to similar market stimuli over time. Technical analysis uses |
chart patterns to analyze market movements and understand trends. Although many of |
these charts have been used for more than 100 years, they are still believed to be |
relevant because they illustrate patterns in price movements that often repeat |
themselves.
Technical analysis can be used on any security with historical trading data. This |
includes stocks, futures and commodities, fixed-income securities, forex, etc. In this |
write-up,, we'll usually analyze stocks in our examples, but keep in mind that these |
concepts can be applied to any type of security. In fact, technical analysis is more |
frequently associated with commodities and forex, where the participants are |
Now that you understand the philosophy behind technical analysis, we'll get into |
explaining how it really works. One of the best ways to understand what technical |
analysis is (and is not) is to compare it to fundamental analysis.
We would continue next.........
Happy trading |
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